https://geo.articuly.com/tags/macroeconomics/ Recent content in Macroeconomics on Geopolitics & Economy Hugo en-US Mon, 20 Apr 2026 00:00:00 +0000 https://geo.articuly.com/posts/2026-04-20-two-way-defense-when-market-is-optimistic/ Mon, 20 Apr 2026 00:00:00 +0000 https://geo.articuly.com/posts/2026-04-20-two-way-defense-when-market-is-optimistic/ This article provides a detailed analysis of a two-pronged defensive investment strategy, examines the nature of current market optimism and its underlying risks, interprets geopolitical and policy trends during the critical window in late April, and offers trading recommendations for gold, oil, and the stock market. https://geo.articuly.com/posts/2026-04-01-april-2026-global-market-turning-point/ Wed, 01 Apr 2026 00:00:00 +0000 https://geo.articuly.com/posts/2026-04-01-april-2026-global-market-turning-point/ A geopolitical analyst provides an in-depth analysis of the key drivers of global markets in April 2026, including the direction of Federal Reserve policy, the impact of the Middle East situation on asset prices, and strategies for asset allocation. https://geo.articuly.com/posts/2025-09-01-gold-silver-market-analysis-usd-credit-collapse-long-term-uptrend/ Mon, 01 Sep 2025 00:00:00 +0000 https://geo.articuly.com/posts/2025-09-01-gold-silver-market-analysis-usd-credit-collapse-long-term-uptrend/ This article provides a systematic analysis of the outlook for the gold and silver markets in 2025. By examining multiple dimensions—including Go for Spread liquidity indicators, macroeconomic drivers, and micro-market structures—it substantiates the rationale for gold’s long-term upward trend and presents an investment forecast of $3,700 for gold and $42 for silver in 2025. https://geo.articuly.com/posts/2025-08-01-supply-side-reform-2.0-a-share-market-and-china-us-economic-game-analysis/ Fri, 01 Aug 2025 00:00:00 +0000 https://geo.articuly.com/posts/2025-08-01-supply-side-reform-2.0-a-share-market-and-china-us-economic-game-analysis/ This article analyzes the central role of Supply-Side Reform 2.0 in driving the current A-share market, compares the similarities and differences in the logic between Supply-Side Reform 1.0 in 2015 and the current round of policies, interprets the implications of macroeconomic indicators such as the M1/M2 spread and credit pulses, and examines the impact of the economic policy standoff between China and the United States on capital markets, as well as the potential for future inflows of foreign capital. https://geo.articuly.com/posts/2025-08-01-china-stock-market-us-economy-commodities-analysis/ Fri, 01 Aug 2025 00:00:00 +0000 https://geo.articuly.com/posts/2025-08-01-china-stock-market-us-economy-commodities-analysis/ This paper analyzes the key characteristics of China’s social financing data for June 2025, interprets the implications of the M1-M2 spread for capital markets, and examines the channels through which expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts affect global capital flows and the Chinese economy. https://geo.articuly.com/posts/2025-07-30-china-us-economy-commodity-market-analysis/ Wed, 30 Jul 2025 00:00:00 +0000 https://geo.articuly.com/posts/2025-07-30-china-us-economy-commodity-market-analysis/ This article provides an in-depth comparison of the core economic contradictions between China and the United States from the perspective of GDP composition. It analyzes the pressures China faces regarding investment and trade, the risks the United States faces regarding consumption and government spending, and the potential impact of the two countries’ respective policy directions on the commodities market. https://geo.articuly.com/posts/2025-07-18-pennsylvania-plan-chapter-2-us-china-debt-cycle-comparison/ Fri, 18 Jul 2025 00:00:00 +0000 https://geo.articuly.com/posts/2025-07-18-pennsylvania-plan-chapter-2-us-china-debt-cycle-comparison/ This article provides an in-depth analysis of the ideal expectations and practical limitations of the Pennsylvania Plan in the United States. It compares the debt resolution strategies and economic cycles of China and the United States, argues why the United States cannot replicate China’s high-growth trajectory of the 1990s, and explores the ultimate consequences of quantitative easing policies within the global fiat currency system. https://geo.articuly.com/posts/2025-07-08-trump-tax-cuts-us-china-choices/ Tue, 08 Jul 2025 00:00:00 +0000 https://geo.articuly.com/posts/2025-07-08-trump-tax-cuts-us-china-choices/ This article analyzes the fundamental flaws in the logic underlying Trump’s tax cut policies and compares them with the historical context of the Great Depression during the Hoover era. It argues that the global economy is currently in a phase characterized by competition over existing resources and insufficient demand, and that blindly promoting manufacturing expansion and increased household debt will exacerbate economic risks. The article also explores the impact of demographic shifts and global supply chain misalignments on the future economic landscape. https://geo.articuly.com/posts/2025-06-22-fed-meeting-and-middle-east-situation-analysis/ Sun, 22 Jun 2025 00:00:00 +0000 https://geo.articuly.com/posts/2025-06-22-fed-meeting-and-middle-east-situation-analysis/ This article analyzes the criteria for assessing the recent U.S. strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities and the logic behind the multi-party strategic dynamics, interprets the signals of stagflation emerging from the Federal Reserve’s June meeting and the geopolitical risks facing interest rate cut expectations, and provides a clear reference framework for macroeconomic decision-making. https://geo.articuly.com/posts/2025-06-20-june-2025-hotspots-gold-cpi-fannie-mae-geopolitics/ Fri, 20 Jun 2025 00:00:00 +0000 https://geo.articuly.com/posts/2025-06-20-june-2025-hotspots-gold-cpi-fannie-mae-geopolitics/ This article provides an in-depth analysis of key market trends for June 2025, including the underlying logic behind gold leasing rates, the impact of energy and housing components on the CPI, the direction of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac privatization policies, developments in the Middle East geopolitical landscape, and adjustments to the global tariff structure, offering decision-making guidance for market participants.